Outside of the predictably top 4 running backs I
think the position as a whole gets a bit murky. Based on what I saw in the
preseason and having a semi understand of the complexion that is Chip Kelly’s
offense, I don’t see how LeSean McCoy doesn’t end up as the #1 running back
this season. They brought in Sproles to give McCoy some relief in the passing
game and running game but I think this is just Chip having a two headed monster
which will open up running lanes even more. Here are my top 40 Running backs
this season and below will be my Bust, Sleeper and Breakout players;
Running Back
|
LeSean McCoy
|
Jamaal Charles
|
Adrian Peterson
|
Matt Forte
|
DeMarco Murray
|
Eddie Lacy
|
Marshawn Lynch
|
Montee Ball
|
Chris Johnson
|
Alfred Morris
|
Andre Ellington
|
Arian Foster
|
Ben Tate
|
Ryan Matthews
|
Doug Martin
|
Shane Vereen
|
Reggie Bush
|
Giovani Bernard
|
Rashad Jennings
|
Zac Stacy
|
Knowshon Moreno
|
Ray Rice
|
Joique Bell
|
Toby Gerhart
|
Pierre Thomas
|
Darren Sproles
|
Frank Gore
|
Fred Jackson
|
Maurice Jones-Drew
|
Stephen Jackson
|
Shonn Greene
|
Trent Richardson
|
DeAngelo Williams
|
Jeremy Hill
|
LeGarrette Blount
|
Danny Woodhead
|
C.J. Spiller
|
Lamar Miller
|
Carlos Hyde
|
Terrence West
|
Busts:
Giovani Bernard: I don’t think he is a bust as he is
going to have a Trent Richardson like sophomore year. But based on his ADP I
can’t justify selecting a guy that high when it is clear the Bengals want to
use Jeremy Hill. Bernard has struggled this preseason and while you should
never take to much on preseason statistics, Bernard doesn’t seem like he is
looking to bounce his runs to the outside. He isn’t much of a grinder, I can
see the Bengals getting him the same touches he had last year but I don’t think
they increase his load with how well Hill performed.
Busts:
C.J. Spiller: Spiller still managed 4.2 ypc last
season, he still had over 200 touches and he still produced outside of
touchdowns. Fred Jackson was still their best running back until his injury
last season. They brought in Bryce Brown as an upgrade over Tashard Choice and
I can see him getting more touches than the 39 Choice received last season. I
think the Bills are down on Spiller because they are struggling to find a way
to utilize his skills. There were rumors they were contemplating trading him
this offseason and with it being a contract year that may still be a
possibility.
Sleeper:
Chris Johnson: He has looked great this preseason for
a team dedicated to running the football. Last year he finished as a top 15
running back in most fantasy leagues but went largely unnoticed. Now with the
Jets his ADP has him outside the top 15 and I just don’t see him finishing
outside the top 10 with this team. I expect Geno Smith to involve Johnson in
the passing game and with Ivory’s injury history I don’t think Johnson will
lose to many touches to him. Expect a big year.
Breakout:
Andre Ellington: Pretty sure every analyst this season
has mentioned this guy as a potential big time player. I have tried to draft
him in as many leagues as I possibly could because I expect a very big year
from him. Bruce Arians said that Ellington might be the best route runner he
has ever coached and they consider him an every down back. He has very little
competition behind him and I can see 250+ touches for him this season. His
potential is top 5 and that alone makes him worthy of a 3rd round
pick.
Breakout:
Ben Tate: People are really high on the rookie Terrance West
but I am not. I think Ben Tate runs away with the starting job this year and
players all 16 games. He has looked punishing when running this preseason and
with a lack of quality receivers I expect to see him involved in the passing
game as well. Tate will sneak into the top 15 and possibly the top 10 depending
on how much the Browns decide to involve him in their passing attack.
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